Nicolas Bousquet 
EDF Research and Development Dpt. of Industrial Risk Management 6 quai Watier 78401 Chatou (France) Tel: (33) (0)1 30 87 75 08 Fax: (33) (0)1 30 87 82 13 nicolas.bousquet 'at' edf.fr Main interests : Bayesian statistics ; environmental modelling ; population dynamics ; computational techniques ; propagation of uncertainties ; low probabilities Past and present collaborations: INRIA, DFO, IRD, AgroParisTech, IMT |
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Research papers
N. Bousquet, E. Chassot, D. Duplisea, M.O. Hammill (2012). Predicting the effects of predation and environment on cod recovery in the northern Gulf of St Lawrence. In revision.
N. Bousquet (2012). Accelerated Monte Carlo estimation of exceedance probabilities under monotonicity constraints. Accepted by the Annales de la Faculté des Sciences de Toulouse.
Special Issue on Mathematical Methods for Design and Analysis of Numerical Experiments, in honor of Anestis Antoniadis
A. Pasanisi, S. Fu, N. Bousquet (2012). Estimating discrete Markov models from various incomplete data schemes. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 56(9): 2609-2625
N. Bousquet, N. Cadigan, T. Duchesne, L.-P. Rivest (2010). Detecting and correcting underreported catches in fish stock assessment : trial of a new method. Canadian Journal
of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 67(8): 1247-1261
N. Bousquet (2010). Eliciting vague but proper maximal entropy priors in Bayesian experiments. Stat. Papers. 51: 613-628
E. Chassot, D. Duplisea, M. Hammill, A. Caskenette, N. Bousquet, Y. Lambert, G. Stenson (2009). The role of predation by harp seals (Phoca groenlandica) in the collapse and
non-recovery of northen Gulf of St. Lawrence cod (Gadus morhua). Marine Ecology Progress Series, 379: 279-297
N. Bousquet (2008). Diagnostics of prior-data agreement in applied Bayesian analysis. Journal of Applied Statistics, 35: 1011-1029
N. Bousquet, T. Duchesne, L.-P. Rivest (2008). Redefining the maximum sustainable yield for the Schaefer population model including multiplicative environmental noise
Journal of Theoretical Biology, 254: 65-75
H. Bertholon, N. Bousquet, G. Celeux (2006). An alternative competing risk model to the Weibull distribution in lifetime data analysis. Lifetime Data Analysis, 12: 481-504
N. Bousquet (2005). Eliciting prior distributions for Weibull inference in an industrial context. Communications in Dependability and Quality Management, 8: 12-19.
Organization & administration
Board of Groupe "Jeunes Statisticiens" de la Société Française de Statistique (Young Statisticians Group within the French Statistical Society)
Organizing Comittee Member : 1er Forum Emploi Mathématique (January 2012)
Journée SFdS Traitement de l'Expertise en Gestion du Risque - Groupe SFdS Fiabilité et Incertitudes
Preprints, research reports & work in progress
Reference priors for nuisance parameters of Bayesian sequential population models
Elicitation of Weibull priors
Monte Carlo acceleration of failure probabilities using monotone computer codes
Risk criteria under uncertainty in flood assessment (with E. de Roquigny, P. Bernardara and N. Goutal)
Effective data sizes in censored experiments
Bayesian prey-predator models applied to cods and seals in St Lawrence (with E. Chassot, M. Hammill, D. Duplisea)
A Bayesian analysis of industrial lifetime data with Weibull distributions. INRIA RR-6025
Subjective Bayesian statistics: agreement between prior and data. INRIA RR-5900
An alternative competing risk model to the Weibull distribution in lifetime data analysis (with H. Bertholon and G. Celeux). INRIA RR-5265
Conference papers
M. Keller, N. Bousquet (2012). Estimation of a flaw size distribution from a data mixture based on destructive tests and non-destructive in-service inspections. ESREL-PSAM congress, Helsinki, Finland (forthcoming)
S. Fu, M. Couplet, N. Bousquet (2011). An adaptive kriging method for characterizing uncertainty in inverse problems. ISI congress, Dublin, Ireland.
N. Bousquet (2011). Encadrement et estimation parcimonieuse de probabilités de dépassement en sortie d’un code de calcul monotone. SFdS congress, Tunis, Tunisia
N. Bousquet (2011). Calculating failure probabilities through constrainted Monte Carlo acceleration methods. MMR congress, Beijing, China
M. Keller, A. Pasanisi, E. Parent, N. Bousquet (2010). Bayesian and frequentist parametric prediction of a tail probability in an industrial reliability context. ISBA congress (poster), Benidorm, Spain.
A. Pasanisi, S. Fu, N. Bousquet (2010). Estimation de modèles markoviens discrets dans un cadre industriel fiabiliste à données manquantes. SFdS congress, Marseille, France.
A. Pasanisi, E. de Rocquigny, E. Parent, N. Bousquet (2009). Some useful features of the Bayesian setting while dealing with uncertainties in industrial practice. ESREL 09, Prague, Czech Republic
N. Bousquet (2009). Calibrating Weibull priors using virtual data. MMR congress, Moscow, Russia
N. Bousquet, T. Duchesne, L.-P. Rivest (2008) . Definition and estimation of biological reference points for halieutic resource management in stochastic frameworks, SSC-SFdS congress, Ottawa, Canada
N. Bousquet, G. Celeux (2006). Measures of Bayesian discrepancy between prior beliefs and data knowledge. ESREL 06, Lisbon, Portugal + Poster at ISBA congress (Benidorm, Spain)
N. Bousquet, G. Celeux, F. Billy, E. Remy (2006). Notions et mesures de cohérence bayésienne entre connaissance a priori et données observées. Lambda-Mu 15, Lille, France
N. Bousquet, G. Celeux, F. Billy, E. Remy (2006). Inférence des paramètres d'une loi de Weibull - Approches classique et bayésienne. Lambda-Mu 15, Lille, France
F. Josse, N. Bousquet, G. Celeux (2006). Vraisemblance d'enchaînements causaux: validation d'un explication a priori confrontée au retour d'expérience. Lambda-Mu 15, Lille, France
F. Billy, N. Bousquet, G. Celeux (2005). Modelling and eliciting expert knowledge with fictitious data in: Proceedings of the Workshop on the use of Expert Judgement for decision-making, CEA Cadarache
N. Bousquet, G. Celeux, E. Remy (2005). A protocol for integrating FED and expert data in a study of durability in: Proceedings of the Workshop on the use of Expert Judgement for decision-making, CEA Cadarache
N. Bousquet (2005). Choosing prior distributions for Weibull inference in a durability context: some propositions, International Symposium on Stochastic Models in Reliability, Safety, Security and Logistics, Beer Sheva, Israel
H. Bertholon, N. Bousquet, G. Celeux (2004). Un modèle de durée de vie à risques concurrents. SFdS congress, Montpellier, France + Poster at MMR congress (Sante Fe, USA)
Vulgarization
Avantages et enjeux de l'analyse statistique bayésienne en durée de vie industrielle. Lettre Techniques de l'Ingénieur : Risques Industriels, No 23, mars-avril 2007.
Book chapter
Considérations décisionnelles pour la construction d'un ouvrage de protection contre les crues (with E. Parent, J. Bernier, A. Pasanisi, M. Keller). In: Approches Statistiques du Risque. Technip (in press - slides)
Some invited talks
Estimation de probabilité faible sous des hypothèses de code de calcul monotone. Journées MAS 2010, Bordeaux (invited session) + Atelier du GdR Mascot-Num, Paris
Bounding and estimating probabilities of extreme events in natural resources management. NICDS Workshop on Statistical Methods for Geographical and Spatial Data in the Management of Natural Resources, Montreal (2010)
Analyse séquentielle de populations avec des prises sous-reportées : approche statistique par données censurées. Jeudis du CRH, Sète (2009)
Improving biological reference points in halieutic modelling. DFO-Memorial University Newfoundland (2007)
Modèles de durée de vie en fiabilité et étude de risque : état de l’art et avancées récentes. Journées de l'Ingénierie. Haute Ecole Robert Schuman, Arlon (2005)
Some seminar slides
Rochebrune 2010, Orsay Ph.D. seminar, FIMA seminar ...
Ph.D. thesis
Analyse bayésienne de la durée de vie de composants industriels
(Elements of Bayesian analysis for the prediction of the lifetime of industrial components)
Defended on 2006, at Paris XI (Orsay) University. Supervised by Gilles Celeux and Jean-Michel Marin.
Teaching / Examination
2009: High School CCP examination (TIPE) : member of the board
2010: Multivariate modelling, probabilistic inversion & accelerated Monte Carlo methods. Tutoriel SFdS "Traitement des Incertitudes".
2003-2007: Level-1 and 2 courses in algebra & numerical analysis (University Paris XI - Jean Monnet / IUT Orsay)
2009-2011: Lecturer at Paris-Dauphine University (Level-3): Exploratory and computational statistics
2010 -... : Professional Course Méthodes Avancées du Traitement des Incertitudes, Laboratoire National de Métrologie et d'Essais
2012 - ... : Special Course (Level-4) on Statistical Bayesian Theory and Applications (University Rennes-2)
Software tools
The QUANFRE project: a professional engineering software developed for EDF in collaboration with NOEO, incorporating frequentist and new Bayesian methods
for the computation of lifetime statistical decision-helping tools. The mathematical code is freeware and written jointly in C / R, to be used
in Windows and Unix operating systems. The packaging software uses the .NET technology.
The SIMCAB-Bayes project: R/C tools with Excel interfaces for Windows OS for frequentist and Bayesian computation of a prey-predator Bayesian model
(first version is described here). This is the evolving result of various studies led with biologists from
Department Fisheries and Oceans Canada and the Institut de Recherche pour le Développement.
The current version can be downloaded by interested researchers from both organisms using a password. Just write me to get it!
Journal / book Referee
Bayesian Analysis - Computational Statistics and Data Analysis
Statistics in Medicine - IEEE Transactions in Reliability
TEST - Ecological Modelling - ICES Journal of Marine Science
Springer-Verlag
Short bio
Engineer graduated in applied mathematics, statistics and computer science from ENSIMAG (2003)
Master of research in applied mathematics (Joseph Fourier University, Grenoble, 2003)
Ph. D. in Mathematics (Paris XI University / INRIA U.R. Futurs, Orsay, 2006)
Post-doctoral internship at Laval University, Québec, Canada (2007-2008). Supervisors were Thierry Duchesne and Louis-Paul Rivest
Miscellaneous
Member of the Gnedenko e-forum (Reliability, Safety, Security)
Former member of the European network of Excellence PASCAL project
Former member of the INRIA Select team
Two interesting working groups: GdR Mascot-Num, GdR Mathématiques et Entreprise
Read this article from The Economist (January 7 th 2006) to realize the significance of Bayesian statistics in life!
Other miscellaneous (in French)
Terres amères (Prix Arthur-Rimbaud), Maison de Poésie, 2001.
Frondaisons (Prix Ecrits en Cité), Bacchanales, 2003.
Textes divers, Rimbaud Vivant & Le Coin de Table, 2003-2005.